There is a clear power shift taking place in the world.
China has been on the rise ever since they started their own industrialization.
With the new economic power has given the ability to project themselves as a
major player in the international theater. But with this new found power a new potential
threat to the United States rears its head. While conflict is not likely at the
moment, it is important to take the necessary steps to mitigate and prepare for
any potential conflict.
But the interesting question is; what is the most likely
conflict to arise involving China? I personally think it will evolve out of the
border disputes in the South China Sea and with Japan. China could easily
become interested in gain a stronger hold on the south china see do to the
economic resources it has. It is estimates that roughly $5.3 trillion dollar
worth of trade passes through the South China Sea per year. Beyond this it
holds 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.
Both the aspect of regulating trade and controlling natural resources make this
territory very alluring. But other countries that the United States is allies
with claim a number of the Islands in the South China Sea. So if conflict
breaks out we would most likely be dragged into the mix.
So, now that we have decided what our conflict will look
like how do we prevent or prepare for it. And what is being done right now is
what I would do if it was my choice. The United States is currently shifting
its military interest from the Middle East even with the trouble stirring up
with ISIL, the military’s strategy wanders to a new theater. That theater is
the Pacific. We are shifting our focus and looking to supporting our allies in
the pacific such as, Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines. With an increased
presence in the region we can deter China from becoming too bold and attempting
to annex island and threaten the safety and stability of our allies and
interests in the Pacific. While doing this we can focus on helping the already
established Japanese, South Korean, and Philippine militaries to be prepared to
take a forward position in dealing with any possible problems they might face
as China continues to rise. By doing this we can lessen the brunt of the
potential conflict on ourselves and quite possibly with proper strategic checks
and balances we could avoid a conflict all together.
You made a good point at the end of your second paragraph that somehow if a conflict does erupt, we would have to get involved because of our allies. It is scary to think how China is steadily on the rise but also keep in mind they did not start industrializing till 30-40 years ago. I do see them as a threat especially because of our debt to them and their growing military, however we are taking the right precautions. Getting more involved in the Pacific is a good idea but how do you think China will perceive this shift? They may interpret it as a threat and keep building stronger and stronger till they can potentially over power us. I think strengthening relationships with allies is harmless but we should be careful not to get too involved.
ReplyDelete